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Final
2025-05-1507:15Truist Park
5-4
Braves
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Nationals1000002205111
Braves002020000482

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 29%
Braves scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 41%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense
29%R 28% · RA 29%
Braves offense × Nationals defense
36%R 31% · RA 41%
Sample 16Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 65% · Season 60% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+2pp
7–9 Late
59%
+7pp
F5 first five
54%
+0pp
F9 full game
56%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games
01327405424271202321015321134826530296284371840817149 410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.22.53.85.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 176Runs Allowed 234

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

42 games
0112233441521116122262231223416135162361216735178111697110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 166Runs Allowed 164
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR28% 12/43#230% 13/4316% 7/4323% 10/4314% 6/43#140% 17/4328% 12/4319% 8/43#329% 10/350% 0/1
RA33% 14/43#335% 15/4326% 11/4319% 8/43#237% 16/4333% 14/4330% 13/43#147% 20/4332% 10/31100% 1/1
BravesR26% 11/4221% 9/42#131% 13/4214% 6/42#329% 12/4221% 9/4221% 9/42#231% 13/4225% 8/3262% 5/8
RA33% 14/4221% 9/42#140% 17/42#238% 16/4217% 7/42#336% 15/4226% 11/4224% 10/4234% 10/2912% 1/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.