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Final
2025-05-1407:40Wrigley Field
4-5
Cubs
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Marlins010010200492
Cubs001010003X561

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Cubs defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Marlins defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 68% · Season 55% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+6pp
7–9 Late
51%
-1pp
F5 first five
56%
+2pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games
0122436481426172627263132042437525386232472028826897510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 166Runs Allowed 238

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

42 games
0122537502615134152142032828440155251962521726338176931310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 238Runs Allowed 185
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR25% 10/4015% 6/4010% 4/4022% 9/4028% 11/40#138% 15/40#238% 15/4020% 8/40#329% 10/3575% 6/8
RA38% 15/4038% 15/40#240% 16/4025% 10/40#340% 16/40#145% 18/4032% 13/4032% 13/4018% 5/2838% 3/8
CubsR24% 10/42#336% 15/4226% 11/42#140% 17/42#238% 16/4224% 10/4229% 12/4226% 11/4228% 9/3243% 3/7
RA24% 10/4224% 10/42#133% 14/42#233% 14/4219% 8/4224% 10/42#326% 11/4224% 10/4215% 5/3357% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.