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Final
2025-05-1307:40Wrigley Field
2-5
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.6
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Cubs defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Marlins defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 68% · Season 56% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+8pp
7–9 Late
53%
+2pp
F5 first five
58%
+4pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games
0122436481426172627263132042432525386212472028826897510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 164Runs Allowed 233

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games
0112233442615134152142032828435155251962519726338176931310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 233Runs Allowed 183
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR26% 10/3915% 6/3910% 4/3923% 9/3928% 11/39#138% 15/39#236% 14/3921% 8/39#329% 10/3475% 6/8
RA#338% 15/3938% 15/39#241% 16/3926% 10/3938% 15/39#146% 18/3933% 13/3933% 13/3918% 5/2838% 3/8
CubsR24% 10/41#237% 15/4127% 11/41#141% 17/41#337% 15/4124% 10/4129% 12/4127% 11/4128% 9/3243% 3/7
RA#324% 10/4124% 10/41#134% 14/41#234% 14/4120% 8/4124% 10/4124% 10/4124% 10/4116% 5/3257% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.