Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-05-1307:15Truist Park

Nationals

Away

3-4

Braves

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	8	0
Braves	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	1X	4	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Braves scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.8

Nationals scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Braves scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.6

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Braves scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Braves offense × Nationals defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 68% · Season 57% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-3pp

7–9 Late

58%

+7pp

F5 first five

53%

-1pp

F9 full game

55%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 171Runs Allowed 225

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 157Runs Allowed 159

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	27% 11/41	#232% 13/41	17% 7/41	20% 8/41	15% 6/41	#141% 17/41	#329% 12/41	20% 8/41	27% 9/33	0% 0/1
Nationals	RA	#334% 14/41	#237% 15/41	24% 10/41	17% 7/41	34% 14/41	32% 13/41	32% 13/41	#146% 19/41	30% 9/30	100% 1/1
Braves	R	#328% 11/40	22% 9/40	#130% 12/40	12% 5/40	25% 10/40	20% 8/40	22% 9/40	#230% 12/40	23% 7/31	62% 5/8
Braves	RA	32% 13/40	22% 9/40	#142% 17/40	#335% 14/40	18% 7/40	#238% 15/40	28% 11/40	25% 10/40	33% 9/27	12% 1/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.