Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-05-1201:35PNC Park

Braves

Away

3-4

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	8	0
Pirates	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1X	4	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Braves scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.9

Braves scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 36%

Pirates scoring tendency

23%

Own scoring 22%

Opponent allowing 24%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.4

Braves scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Pirates defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Pirates offense × Braves defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 70% · Season 68% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-1pp

7–9 Late

49%

-2pp

F5 first five

55%

+1pp

F9 full game

52%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 154Runs Allowed 155

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 123Runs Allowed 180

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#228% 11/39	23% 9/39	#131% 12/39	13% 5/39	26% 10/39	21% 8/39	23% 9/39	#328% 11/39	23% 7/30	62% 5/8
Braves	RA	33% 13/39	23% 9/39	#144% 17/39	#336% 14/39	15% 6/39	#238% 15/39	28% 11/39	26% 10/39	31% 8/26	12% 1/8
Pirates	R	#230% 12/40	12% 5/40	#325% 10/40	20% 8/40	#132% 13/40	15% 6/40	20% 8/40	12% 5/40	18% 6/34	33% 4/12
Pirates	RA	18% 7/40	15% 6/40	#238% 15/40	20% 8/40	#332% 13/40	28% 11/40	28% 11/40	32% 13/40	#141% 12/29	42% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.