Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-05-1107:15Citi Field

Cubs

Away

6-5

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	6	9	1
Mets	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	5	8	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Cubs scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 53%

Mets scoring tendency

21%

Own scoring 36%

Opponent allowing 6%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.2

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Mets defense

43%R 33% · RA 53%

Mets offense × Cubs defense

21%R 36% · RA 6%

Sample 14Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 64% · Season 57% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

48%

-6pp

7–9 Late

58%

+6pp

F5 first five

53%

-0pp

F9 full game

53%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 225Runs Allowed 172

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 188Runs Allowed 124

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	23% 9/39	#238% 15/39	26% 10/39	#141% 16/39	#338% 15/39	23% 9/39	28% 11/39	26% 10/39	30% 9/30	43% 3/7
Cubs	RA	#326% 10/39	23% 9/39	#136% 14/39	#233% 13/39	21% 8/39	23% 9/39	26% 10/39	21% 8/39	16% 5/31	57% 4/7
Mets	R	26% 10/39	#333% 13/39	#138% 15/39	10% 4/39	21% 8/39	33% 13/39	28% 11/39	#238% 15/39	29% 8/28	50% 2/4
Mets	RA	13% 5/39	21% 8/39	21% 8/39	#326% 10/39	23% 9/39	#228% 11/39	23% 9/39	10% 4/39	#139% 12/31	75% 3/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.