Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-05-1008:10Daikin Park

Reds

Away

0-3

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0
Astros	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	X	3	13	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.6

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 15%

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 15%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Astros defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Astros offense × Reds defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 68% · Season 64% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

55%

+2pp

7–9 Late

50%

-2pp

F5 first five

54%

+1pp

F9 full game

54%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 185Runs Allowed 156

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 145Runs Allowed 129

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	#331% 12/39	23% 9/39	#141% 16/39	18% 7/39	26% 10/39	#233% 13/39	23% 9/39	28% 11/39	30% 9/30	0% 0/5
Reds	RA	#328% 11/39	#231% 12/39	18% 7/39	23% 9/39	#136% 14/39	13% 5/39	23% 9/39	26% 10/39	25% 8/32	80% 4/5
Astros	R	14% 5/36	#328% 10/36	14% 5/36	19% 7/36	28% 10/36	#144% 16/36	28% 10/36	#229% 10/35	17% 4/24	50% 2/4
Astros	RA	#231% 11/36	22% 8/36	#325% 9/36	25% 9/36	#139% 14/36	17% 6/36	14% 5/35	20% 7/35	19% 5/26	0% 0/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.