Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-05-0703:35Nationals Park

Guardians

Away

9-10

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Guardians	1	1	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	9	14	2
Nationals	1	0	2	0	1	2	4	0	X	10	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.1

Guardians scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Inn.3

Guardians scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Nationals scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Nationals defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Nationals offense × Guardians defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +3pp

Last 20 60% · Season 67% · -7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

47%

-6pp

7–9 Late

52%

+2pp

F5 first five

49%

-5pp

F9 full game

52%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 131Runs Allowed 154

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 151Runs Allowed 179

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Guardians	R	26% 9/34	15% 5/34	#141% 14/34	#232% 11/34	24% 8/34	#332% 11/34	18% 6/34	21% 7/34	19% 5/26	100% 3/3
Guardians	RA	#235% 12/34	21% 7/34	26% 9/34	18% 6/34	26% 9/34	26% 9/34	#332% 11/34	26% 9/34	#136% 9/25	33% 1/3
Nationals	R	29% 10/35	#234% 12/35	14% 5/35	20% 7/35	14% 5/35	#143% 15/35	29% 10/35	20% 7/35	#332% 9/28	0% 0/1
Nationals	RA	31% 11/35	#334% 12/35	26% 9/35	17% 6/35	#237% 13/35	31% 11/35	29% 10/35	#146% 16/35	25% 6/24	100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.