Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-05-0407:15Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Royals

Away

4-0

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	4	8	0
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Royals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.7

Royals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.3

Royals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 50%

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Orioles defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Orioles offense × Royals defense

25%R 15% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 70% · Season 56% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-2pp

7–9 Late

51%

+0pp

F5 first five

54%

-0pp

F9 full game

52%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 105Runs Allowed 113

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 123Runs Allowed 169

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	#133% 11/33	21% 7/33	15% 5/33	18% 6/33	#327% 9/33	18% 6/33	18% 6/33	24% 8/33	#230% 7/23	50% 3/6
Royals	RA	9% 3/33	#327% 9/33	18% 6/33	24% 8/33	#133% 11/33	#233% 11/33	24% 8/33	21% 7/33	13% 3/23	50% 3/6
Orioles	R	#232% 10/31	#332% 10/31	32% 10/31	19% 6/31	16% 5/31	19% 6/31	#139% 12/31	29% 9/31	9% 2/23	0% 0/1
Orioles	RA	#142% 13/31	#242% 13/31	#339% 12/31	26% 8/31	35% 11/31	26% 8/31	39% 12/31	23% 7/31	25% 5/20	100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.