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Final
2025-05-0406:40Great American Ball Park
11-6
Reds
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals20010412111151
Reds2100010116122

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Reds scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Reds defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Reds offense × Nationals defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-1pp
7–9 Late
56%
+5pp
F5 first five
58%
+4pp
F9 full game
57%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
010203040202111815261231710472252316617327143181499 410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.22.53.85.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 136Runs Allowed 172

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
01123354718131141323714313144182151986181272112811149 610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.91.92.83.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 169Runs Allowed 127
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR27% 9/33#233% 11/3315% 5/3318% 6/3315% 5/33#142% 14/3324% 8/3318% 6/33#331% 8/260% 0/1
RA#330% 10/3330% 10/3327% 9/3318% 6/33#239% 13/3330% 10/3330% 10/33#145% 15/3323% 5/22100% 1/1
RedsR#330% 10/3321% 7/33#145% 15/3318% 6/3327% 9/33#236% 12/3324% 8/3327% 9/3329% 7/240% 0/2
RA#327% 9/33#233% 11/3318% 6/3324% 8/33#136% 12/339% 3/3321% 7/3327% 9/3319% 5/27100% 2/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.