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Final
2025-04-2708:40Petco Park
Rays
Away
4-1
Padres
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Rays002010001490
Padres000001000152

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.1
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.7
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Padres defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Rays defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 72% · Season 73% · -1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
40%
-13pp
7–9 Late
46%
-4pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

26 games
05111622131319122171431574315517961111791089997110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 110Runs Allowed 101

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

26 games
061218252017110102151535841865466206710681 9 110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 103Runs Allowed 75
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RaysR23% 6/2619% 5/26#131% 8/26#231% 8/2612% 3/2627% 7/2623% 6/26#331% 8/2626% 5/1975% 3/4
RA#135% 9/26#235% 9/26#335% 9/2619% 5/2627% 7/2619% 5/2631% 8/2627% 7/2630% 7/2325% 1/4
PadresR#338% 10/2623% 6/26#242% 11/2615% 4/2635% 9/2612% 3/26#150% 13/2623% 6/267% 1/140% 0/1
RA#227% 7/26#319% 5/26#138% 10/2619% 5/2615% 4/2612% 3/2619% 5/2619% 5/260% 0/19100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.