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Final
2025-04-2609:40Petco Park
Rays
Away
1-0
Padres
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Padres000000000051

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.7
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.1
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Padres defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Padres offense × Rays defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 68% · Season 72% · -4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
44%
-8pp
7–9 Late
51%
+0pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

25 games
05111622131319122161431574315517961111791089997110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 109Runs Allowed 101

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

25 games
061218252017110102151435841865466206710681 9 110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 103Runs Allowed 74
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RaysR24% 6/2520% 5/25#328% 7/25#132% 8/2512% 3/2528% 7/2524% 6/25#232% 8/2528% 5/1875% 3/4
RA#136% 9/25#236% 9/25#336% 9/2520% 5/2528% 7/2520% 5/2532% 8/2528% 7/2532% 7/2225% 1/4
PadresR#340% 10/2524% 6/25#244% 11/2516% 4/2536% 9/2512% 3/25#152% 13/2524% 6/258% 1/130% 0/1
RA#228% 7/25#320% 5/25#136% 9/2520% 5/2516% 4/2512% 3/2520% 5/2520% 5/250% 0/18100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.