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Final
2025-04-2101:40Citi Field
4-7
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Mets defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Mets offense × Cardinals defense
32%R 45% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 75% · Season 74% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
43%
-12pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+4pp
7–9 Late
48%
-2pp
F5 first five
46%
-8pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

21 games
049141941218132121131334119514967157155898961110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 99Runs Allowed 96

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

21 games
05111622551932107317414951712664713 87892210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 84Runs Allowed 57
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR19% 4/2124% 5/2129% 6/21#238% 8/2129% 6/21#143% 9/2129% 6/21#333% 7/2131% 4/1350% 4/8
RA#133% 7/2119% 4/2124% 5/2114% 3/21#229% 6/2124% 5/21#329% 6/2119% 4/2125% 4/1675% 6/8
MetsR19% 4/2119% 4/21#238% 8/215% 1/2119% 4/21#143% 9/2119% 4/21#338% 8/2127% 4/1533% 1/3
RA14% 3/2114% 3/2119% 4/2124% 5/21#233% 7/21#138% 8/2114% 3/210% 0/21#325% 4/1667% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.