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Final
2025-04-2004:05Citi Field
0-3
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 27%
Mets scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 27%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Mets defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Mets offense × Cardinals defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 78% · Season 78% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+6pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
48%
-6pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

20 games
04914194121813212931334119514967157154898961110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 99Runs Allowed 93

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

20 games
0511162255193287317414951712664712 87892210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 81Runs Allowed 57
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR20% 4/2025% 5/2030% 6/20#240% 8/2030% 6/20#145% 9/2030% 6/20#335% 7/2033% 4/1250% 4/8
RA#135% 7/2020% 4/2020% 4/2015% 3/20#230% 6/2025% 5/20#330% 6/2015% 3/2025% 4/1675% 6/8
MetsR20% 4/2020% 4/20#235% 7/205% 1/2020% 4/20#145% 9/2020% 4/20#335% 7/2027% 4/1533% 1/3
RA15% 3/2015% 3/2020% 4/2025% 5/20#235% 7/20#140% 8/2015% 3/200% 0/20#327% 4/1567% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.