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Final
2025-04-1908:10Daikin Park
Padres
Away
4-6
Astros
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Padres0101002004120
Astros03110001X6120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 28%
Astros scoring tendency
21%
Own scoring 17%
Opponent allowing 26%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp
#2
Inn.3
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 17%
Astros scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 11%
Opponent allowing 37%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 33%
Astros scoring tendency
16%
Own scoring 22%
Opponent allowing 11%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Astros defense
35%R 42% · RA 28%
Astros offense × Padres defense
21%R 17% · RA 26%
Sample 18Combined vs league -4pp
Last 20 56% · Season 56% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
46%
-7pp
7–9 Late
43%
-8pp
F5 first five
51%
-3pp
F9 full game
47%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
0511172318141652131134741535446173710381 9 110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 88Runs Allowed 51

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
049141931011382343415412115106622710886693 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 66Runs Allowed 70
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR#342% 8/1916% 3/19#247% 9/1916% 3/1937% 7/1916% 3/19#158% 11/1932% 6/1914% 1/70% 0/1
RA#226% 5/1916% 3/19#137% 7/19#321% 4/1911% 2/1911% 2/1916% 3/1916% 3/190% 0/16100% 1/1
AstrosR17% 3/18#233% 6/1811% 2/1817% 3/1822% 4/18#139% 7/1811% 2/18#333% 6/1821% 3/1450% 2/4
RA#328% 5/1828% 5/1817% 3/18#133% 6/18#233% 6/1822% 4/1811% 2/1822% 4/1821% 3/140% 0/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.