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Final
2025-04-1807:10Citi Field
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Mets
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Cardinals001000000130
Mets04000000X480

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 39%
Mets scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 22%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 39%
Mets scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 17%
Opponent allowing 28%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 17%
Mets scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 22%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Mets defense
42%R 44% · RA 39%
Mets offense × Cardinals defense
33%R 44% · RA 22%
Sample 18Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 75% · Season 75% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+5pp
7–9 Late
47%
-3pp
F5 first five
47%
-6pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
0491419412179211931234117513867157153887961110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 94Runs Allowed 84

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
0510152055152286316412951611664711 86792210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 72Runs Allowed 52
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR22% 4/1822% 4/1828% 5/18#239% 7/1833% 6/18#144% 8/1833% 6/18#339% 7/1830% 3/1050% 4/8
RA#139% 7/1817% 3/1822% 4/1817% 3/18#328% 5/1822% 4/18#233% 6/1811% 2/1820% 3/1575% 6/8
MetsR22% 4/1817% 3/18#239% 7/186% 1/1817% 3/18#144% 8/1822% 4/18#333% 6/1821% 3/1433% 1/3
RA17% 3/1811% 2/1817% 3/1822% 4/18#139% 7/18#239% 7/1817% 3/180% 0/18#323% 3/1367% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.