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Final
2025-04-1609:40Petco Park
Cubs
Away
2-1
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 37%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.7
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 18%
Padres scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 59%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.2
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 18%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 18%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Padres defense
33%R 32% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Cubs defense
42%R 47% · RA 37%
Sample 17Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 75% · Season 75% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+10pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
61%
+7pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
0612182413711992793131041710518961010714148959ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 120Runs Allowed 83

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

17 games
051117231814165211103474143543616379281 9ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.3123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 83Runs Allowed 47
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR21% 4/19#153% 10/1932% 6/19#247% 9/19#337% 7/1937% 7/1926% 5/1932% 6/1927% 4/15-
RA21% 4/19#232% 6/19#137% 7/1926% 5/1926% 5/1926% 5/19#332% 6/1921% 4/1927% 4/15-
PadresR#247% 8/1718% 3/17#347% 8/1718% 3/1735% 6/1718% 3/17#159% 10/1729% 5/1717% 1/6-
RA#229% 5/1718% 3/17#135% 6/17#324% 4/1712% 2/176% 1/1718% 3/1712% 2/170% 0/14-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.