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Final
2025-04-1606:40Great American Ball Park
4-8
Reds
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Mariners110020000461
Reds00204002X890

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 19%
Opponent allowing 38%
Reds scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 6%
Opponent allowing 44%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp
#2
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 31%
Reds scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 19%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
19%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 12%
Reds scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 19%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Reds defense
28%R 19% · RA 38%
Reds offense × Mariners defense
25%R 6% · RA 44%
Sample 16Combined vs league -0pp
Last 20 53% · Season 53% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
42%
-13pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
46%
-6pp
F5 first five
46%
-8pp
F9 full game
47%
-7pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

16 games
04812175101562833313476588676711686491310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 61Runs Allowed 65

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

16 games
051116228116221733311441151176647548269 210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 62Runs Allowed 51
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR25% 4/1625% 4/1625% 4/1619% 3/16#231% 5/16#331% 5/1625% 4/1625% 4/16#133% 3/920% 1/5
RA25% 4/1619% 3/1619% 3/16#144% 7/1625% 4/16#231% 5/1625% 4/16#331% 5/1627% 4/1540% 2/5
RedsR#225% 4/1612% 2/16#144% 7/166% 1/1619% 3/16#325% 4/1619% 3/1619% 3/1618% 2/110% 0/1
RA6% 1/1612% 2/1612% 2/16#138% 6/16#231% 5/1612% 2/16#319% 3/1619% 3/1615% 2/13100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.