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Final
2025-04-1509:40Petco Park
Cubs
Away
4-10
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 38%
Padres scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.7
Cubs scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 19%
Padres scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 56%
Opponent allowing 28%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.2
Cubs scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 56%
Opponent allowing 19%
Padres scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 19%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Padres defense
35%R 33% · RA 38%
Padres offense × Cubs defense
39%R 44% · RA 33%
Sample 16Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 74% · Season 74% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
67%
+12pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-3pp
7–9 Late
46%
-5pp
F5 first five
63%
+9pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
061218241371199278310104171051876107713108959ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.3123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 116Runs Allowed 73

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

16 games
051117231814165210103444143523613375181 9ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.4123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 73Runs Allowed 43
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR22% 4/18#156% 10/1833% 6/18#244% 8/18#339% 7/1839% 7/1828% 5/1828% 5/1829% 4/14-
RA22% 4/18#133% 6/18#233% 6/18#328% 5/1828% 5/1822% 4/1828% 5/1817% 3/1827% 4/15-
PadresR#250% 8/1619% 3/16#344% 7/1619% 3/1638% 6/1612% 2/16#156% 9/1625% 4/1617% 1/6-
RA#231% 5/16#319% 3/16#138% 6/1619% 3/1612% 2/166% 1/1619% 3/166% 1/160% 0/13-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.