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Final
2025-04-0607:10Citi Field
2-3
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0000110002100
Mets000000021X380

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 29%
Mets scoring tendency
46%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 29%
Mets scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 29%
Mets scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Mets defense
27%R 25% · RA 29%
Mets offense × Blue Jays defense
46%R 43% · RA 50%
Sample 7Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 73% · Season 73% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
-0pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+1pp
7–9 Late
31%
-20pp
F5 first five
53%
-4pp
F9 full game
48%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

8 games
0369135614123431064225286357338 19ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.6123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 32Runs Allowed 36

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

7 games
02469331312343 34715626 273 81292110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 28Runs Allowed 19
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#238% 3/8#325% 2/825% 2/8#150% 4/825% 2/825% 2/825% 2/825% 2/80% 0/3-
RA#150% 4/812% 1/825% 2/8#338% 3/812% 1/8#250% 4/838% 3/812% 1/814% 1/7-
MetsR#329% 2/729% 2/7#143% 3/70% 0/714% 1/7#243% 3/70% 0/714% 1/717% 1/650% 1/2
RA#129% 2/714% 1/7#229% 2/7#329% 2/714% 1/729% 2/714% 1/70% 0/725% 1/450% 1/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.