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Final
2025-04-0207:07Rogers Centre
Nationals
Away
3-5
Blue Jays
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals000002100361
Blue Jays03000002X5120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 60%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
55%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +42pp
#2
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 20%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 75%
Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp
#3
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 75%
Opponent allowing 20%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
42%R 25% · RA 60%
Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
55%R 60% · RA 50%
Sample 4Combined vs league +42pp
Last 20 98% · Season 98% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
67%
+7pp
7–9 Late
60%
+7pp
F5 first five
56%
-2pp
F9 full game
59%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

4 games
01357 1212 133441 5556 57438119 410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.22.53.85.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 16Runs Allowed 24

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

5 games
036912441112343964125126347138 9ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 23Runs Allowed 26
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR0% 0/425% 1/40% 0/425% 1/425% 1/4#175% 3/40% 0/4#250% 2/4#333% 1/30% 0/1
RA0% 0/425% 1/425% 1/4#250% 2/40% 0/425% 1/4#350% 2/4#175% 3/433% 1/3100% 1/1
Blue JaysR#240% 2/520% 1/5#340% 2/5#160% 3/520% 1/520% 1/540% 2/520% 1/50% 0/2-
RA#160% 3/520% 1/5#340% 2/5#260% 3/520% 1/520% 1/540% 2/520% 1/50% 0/5-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.