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Final
2025-04-0107:07Rogers Centre
Nationals
Away
2-5
Blue Jays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
54%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 75%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +37pp
#2
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 0%
Opponent allowing 50%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
58%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 67%
Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
46%
Own scoring 67%
Opponent allowing 25%
Blue Jays scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 0%
Opponent allowing 67%
Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
54%R 33% · RA 75%
Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
42%R 50% · RA 33%
Sample 3Combined vs league +37pp
Last 20 96% · Season 96% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
43%
-11pp
4–6 Middle
67%
+6pp
7–9 Late
68%
+16pp
F5 first five
53%
-3pp
F9 full game
59%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

3 games
01357 12 2 33241 5356 57428119 410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.22.53.85.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 14Runs Allowed 19

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

4 games
02469441 122437641251 6347 38 9ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 18Runs Allowed 24
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR0% 0/333% 1/30% 0/333% 1/333% 1/3#167% 2/30% 0/3#267% 2/3#350% 1/20% 0/1
RA0% 0/30% 0/30% 0/3#333% 1/30% 0/333% 1/3#167% 2/3#267% 2/333% 1/3100% 1/1
Blue JaysR#150% 2/40% 0/425% 1/4#250% 2/425% 1/425% 1/4#350% 2/40% 0/40% 0/2-
RA#175% 3/425% 1/4#350% 2/4#275% 3/425% 1/40% 0/450% 2/425% 1/40% 0/4-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.